---
name: macro-analysis
description: Macro environment analysis — rates, inflation, economic indicators, short pressure via openbb-invest-api
user-invocable: true
metadata: { "openclaw": { "emoji": "🌍", "requires": { "bins": ["curl"] } } }
---

# Macro Analysis

Generate a structured macro environment report relevant to a given stock ticker.

## Data Collection

Fetch the following endpoints using `exec` tool:

```bash
BASE=https://invest-api.k8s.home

# 1. Macro overview (Fed rate, yields, CPI, unemployment, GDP, VIX)
curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/macro/overview"

# 2. Yield curve (rate environment and inversion signal)
curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/fixed-income/yield-curve"

# 3. CPI (inflation trend)
curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/macro/cpi?country=united_states"

# 4. Consumer sentiment (recession predictor)
curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/economy/surveys/michigan"

# 5. Short selling pressure on the specific stock
curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/stock/{TICKER}/shorts/volume"

# 6. Short interest and days to cover
curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/stock/{TICKER}/shorts/interest"
```

## Report Structure

```
## Macro Environment for {TICKER} — {date}

### Interest Rate Environment
- Fed Funds Rate: {rate}%
- 10Y Treasury: {rate}% | 2Y Treasury: {rate}%
- Yield curve: [normal / flat / inverted] — {spread}bps
- Rate outlook: [hawkish / dovish / neutral]

### Inflation
- CPI YoY: {%} — trend [rising / falling / stable]
- PCE (if available): {%}
- Implication: [Fed likely to cut / hold / raise]

### Economic Health
- GDP growth: {%}
- Unemployment: {%}
- VIX: {level} — [low fear <15 / moderate 15-25 / high fear >25]
- Consumer sentiment (Michigan): {value} — [strong / weak / deteriorating]

### Short Pressure on {TICKER}
- Short volume: {%} of total volume — [low <20% / moderate / high >40%]
- Short interest: {shares} ({days_to_cover} days to cover)
- Signal: [short squeeze potential / bears in control / neutral]

### Market Implications for {TICKER}
- Sector sensitivity to rates: [high / moderate / low]
- Macro headwinds: {key risk}
- Macro tailwinds: {key opportunity}

### Signal: [FAVORABLE / UNFAVORABLE / MIXED]
### Confidence: {1-10}
### Key Risk: {one-line macro risk}
```

## Rules

- Use ONLY data from the API responses — never fabricate economic figures
- If an endpoint returns an error, note "Data unavailable" for that section
- Keep the report under 400 words
- Contextualize macro data for the specific stock's sector (e.g., rate-sensitive sectors like REITs, banks)