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- 5 analysis skills: trade-analyze (orchestrator), market-analysis, fundamental-analysis, sentiment-analysis, macro-analysis - 4 debate agent personas (SOUL.md): invest-bull, invest-bear, invest-hawk, invest-dove - 5 agent operating instructions (AGENTS.md) including invest-analyst - Deploy script for pushing to remote OpenClaw server - Uses sessions_spawn for non-blocking agent delegation - invest-analyst collects data via API, spawns debate agents, synthesizes final BUY/SELL/HOLD verdict
81 lines
2.4 KiB
Markdown
81 lines
2.4 KiB
Markdown
---
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name: macro-analysis
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description: Macro environment analysis — rates, inflation, economic indicators, short pressure via openbb-invest-api
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user-invocable: true
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metadata: { "openclaw": { "emoji": "🌍", "requires": { "bins": ["curl"] } } }
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---
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# Macro Analysis
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Generate a structured macro environment report relevant to a given stock ticker.
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## Data Collection
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Fetch the following endpoints using `exec` tool:
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```bash
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BASE=https://invest-api.k8s.home
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# 1. Macro overview (Fed rate, yields, CPI, unemployment, GDP, VIX)
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curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/macro/overview"
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# 2. Yield curve (rate environment and inversion signal)
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curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/fixed-income/yield-curve"
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# 3. CPI (inflation trend)
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curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/macro/cpi?country=united_states"
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# 4. Consumer sentiment (recession predictor)
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curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/economy/surveys/michigan"
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# 5. Short selling pressure on the specific stock
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curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/stock/{TICKER}/shorts/volume"
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# 6. Short interest and days to cover
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curl -sk "$BASE/api/v1/stock/{TICKER}/shorts/interest"
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```
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## Report Structure
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```
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## Macro Environment for {TICKER} — {date}
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### Interest Rate Environment
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- Fed Funds Rate: {rate}%
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- 10Y Treasury: {rate}% | 2Y Treasury: {rate}%
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- Yield curve: [normal / flat / inverted] — {spread}bps
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- Rate outlook: [hawkish / dovish / neutral]
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### Inflation
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- CPI YoY: {%} — trend [rising / falling / stable]
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- PCE (if available): {%}
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- Implication: [Fed likely to cut / hold / raise]
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### Economic Health
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- GDP growth: {%}
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- Unemployment: {%}
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- VIX: {level} — [low fear <15 / moderate 15-25 / high fear >25]
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- Consumer sentiment (Michigan): {value} — [strong / weak / deteriorating]
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### Short Pressure on {TICKER}
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- Short volume: {%} of total volume — [low <20% / moderate / high >40%]
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- Short interest: {shares} ({days_to_cover} days to cover)
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- Signal: [short squeeze potential / bears in control / neutral]
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### Market Implications for {TICKER}
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- Sector sensitivity to rates: [high / moderate / low]
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- Macro headwinds: {key risk}
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- Macro tailwinds: {key opportunity}
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### Signal: [FAVORABLE / UNFAVORABLE / MIXED]
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### Confidence: {1-10}
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### Key Risk: {one-line macro risk}
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```
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## Rules
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- Use ONLY data from the API responses — never fabricate economic figures
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- If an endpoint returns an error, note "Data unavailable" for that section
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- Keep the report under 400 words
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- Contextualize macro data for the specific stock's sector (e.g., rate-sensitive sectors like REITs, banks)
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